RoboCalls Resolution? General Election Will Happen

It’s time for a wild prediction, based on information I have, interpretation of law and political power, a touch of math, and a hint of guts (plus a reversal of my earlier skepticism in the power of RoboCon). Here’s a potential scenario for how the election fraud scandal the Conservative Party of Canada is embroiled in, may work out over the next year or less. We’re headed for an early General Election! Here’s why…

Do a little catch up reading, if you’re inclined to disagree with what I suggest, unless you know I’ve made an error.

General Elections are initiated when the Head of State, the Queen, has her representative, the Governor General, drop the writ. Typically the writ is dropped when the Prime Minister visits the GG’s residence at Rideau Hall, and requests it be done.

Why would the PM call an election? Two frequent reasons are that their five years in government are up (fixed election date has arrived… not ever happened, right?) or they’ve lost the confidence of the House of Commons. The GG could also drop the writ, just for kicks and giggles, not something they’re known for. The Queen might want that done if it’s shown after a police investigation that the PM or his caucus is so dirty that they conspired to prevent voters from getting to the polls (which seems somewhat unlikely, even given the previous In & Out Election Act conviction of senior Conservatives recently).

How could PM Harper lose the confidence of the House when he has a MAJORITY of the MPs in his party? That’d be unprecedented! Well, we’re into unprecedented territory, boys and girls. There are two possibilities for how Harper could lose, as I see it.

1. Some of his MPs could go rogue/independent, and turn on whomever more senior than them ordered a sweeping election fraud and tarnished the party’s name (further tarnished, I mean).
2. There are byelections called in up to 74 of the ridings identified as having had “irregularities” or fraud take place inside them, and the results of the previous election are nullified, leaving empty seats in the House. If the results are cancelled, could that leave seats empty, instead of represented by MPs who were the possible benefactors or even victims of electoral fraud?

   Presently, by the most complete reported fraud list at The Sixth Estate, there are 50 seats for the Conservatives that could be nullified. 24 for the Liberals, Bloc, NDP, and Greens if byelections are held in those ridings too. Any vote in the Commons, minus all of those votes, means the Opposition will win if it votes together against the Government.

   Is it plausible that 74 byelections may be underway before 2013? Will that be enough time for Elections Canada, the RCMP, and any commissioner subsequently hired, to uncover the details of the conspiracy? Will Pierre Poutine be revealed by then, if ever? Note: A cell company should be able to provide police with a triangulated map of where Poutine’s burner phone was carried when left on. {Wouldn’t it be a hoot if Poutine’s calls were made from Parliament, in predictive-homage to Vikileaks?}

So that’s why there could be another General Election, brought about because of a non-confidence vote, because of empty seats, because of byelections, because constituents complained to Elections Canada who is now receptive to reports of fraud, because journalists for the National Post brought up that electoral fraud investigations started in April and May last year, had some new information turn up.

Whew! You follow all that?

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The Conservatives in Ottawa were leaning on Guelph Conservative campaign, the one under RCMP investigation right now. Ground Zero for the 2011 election fraud scandal, where Michael Sona slithered out of, and was pitched under the Conservative Campaign Bus (but he stood up and refused to lie down!).

“Agreed — we were told in media training at last Saturday’s Campaign Training session exactly that — ALL media must go through the “press secretary” — in our case, Michael,” Padanyi wrote.

The email exchange also includes a note from Sona urging other campaign insiders to maintain a link with national headquarters.

“I am in National Caucus with the Minister until noon, so I would like until then to be able to see what the PM has to say to us in Cabinet before we submit this article,” Sona wrote.

Bonus: RoboCon search warrant.