We’ll know, I think, by 2025 when it’s too late to do anything about the past 10 years.
I’m cautiously optimistic that it’s an agreement that will provide a better push than Kyoto or Copenhagen ever had a chance to do.
It’s probably aiming somewhere beneath a complete success (which we obviously need to preserve civilization and species at risk of extinction), and above the total failure to move lagging countries like Canada and India off their fossil fueled paths.
Saskatchewan is showing signs of improvement, with even conservative (Conservative leader hopeful?) Brad Wall loosening the chains on progress toward renewable energy. But expect the Premier to re-pitch nuclear power.
San Diego plans to go 100% renewable.
Leaving the fate of the world in the hands of local governments and politicians who feel cash starved, is probably not going to end well. Their motivation presently comes from local environmentalists complaining about them not doing enough/anything. That’s not as motivating as the so-called almighty dollar.